Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Today's biggest prediction market edge: Eagles at 61¢
On Tuesday, November 3, 2026, SportsParity tracked 8 matched markets across 3 sports. The widest gap is on Cowboys @ Eagles. Kalshi asks 61¢ for Eagles, while devigged sportsbook consensus lands at 66.4¢, a 5.4¢ difference. 1 crossed market showed up, where opposing prices lock a profit no matter the result. Every figure comes from live data, graded against the closing line. Shown before exchange fees. Not betting advice.
Markets tracked
8
Sports
3
Biggest gap
+5.4¢
The biggest edges today
Breaking down today's top gaps
NFL: Cowboys @ Eagles. Kalshi is pricing Eagles at 61¢, while the devigged sportsbook consensus puts fair value at 66.4¢, leaving Kalshi 5.4¢ above the fair line. This is a crossed market: the prediction market and the sportsbooks disagree enough that opposing positions would lock in a return regardless of outcome.
NFL: Chiefs @ Bills. Kalshi is pricing Bills at 54¢, while the devigged sportsbook consensus puts fair value at 58.5¢, leaving Kalshi 4.5¢ above the fair line. At 4.5¢, this clears the professional threshold where an edge is considered actionable rather than noise.
NBA: Lakers @ Mavericks. Kalshi is pricing Mavericks at 47¢, while the devigged sportsbook consensus puts fair value at 50.5¢, leaving Kalshi 3.5¢ above the fair line. At 3.5¢, this clears the professional threshold where an edge is considered actionable rather than noise.
MLB: Astros @ Rangers. Kalshi is pricing Astros at 55¢, while the devigged sportsbook consensus puts fair value at 57.8¢, leaving Kalshi 2.8¢ above the fair line. A modest gap worth watching as the game approaches and the line firms up.
NBA: Celtics @ Heat. Kalshi is pricing Celtics at 69¢, while the devigged sportsbook consensus puts fair value at 71.6¢, leaving Kalshi 2.6¢ above the fair line. A modest gap worth watching as the game approaches and the line firms up.
By sport
Widest gap: Eagles at +5.4¢
Widest gap: Mavericks at +3.5¢
Widest gap: Astros at +2.8¢
How we find the edge
SportsParity finds the gap between prediction markets and sportsbooks. We take the moneyline from a consensus of US sportsbooks, remove the vig to produce a true fair line, and hold that against the live Kalshi price for the same outcome. When Kalshi trades below fair value, there is a positive edge. We express every edge in cents on a 0 to 100 scale, rank them, and grade each flagged edge against the closing line once the game settles. Closing line value, not a cherry-picked win streak, is how we prove an edge was real.
See these live, ranked in real time.
This report is a daily snapshot. The board updates every minute.
Open the live boardGenerated from live market data · edges shown before exchange fees · not betting advice